Seminar by Jon Eguia

SALA SEMINARI – 1° PIANO, PALAZZO LEVI CASES, VIA DEL SANTO 33 - ORE 12.30

04.06.2019

Seminar by Jon Eguia, Michigan State University

Title: Regime Change

Abstract: I present a theory of multi-lateral conflict. Policy-motivated countries launch military interventions in a target country, whose policies are perceived as noxious. A successful intervention leads to a change of regime and a change of policies, in the target country. Comparative statics show that an intervention is more likely in a more interconnected world, if the target nation is smaller, or if the policy preferred by the target country's government is more extreme. To measure the effectiveness of alliances, I develop a measure of "relative sacrifice" in contributions to multilateral interventions. Using Afghanistan (2001-2014) as an illustration, I argue that the relative sacrifice made by the US, the UK, and Canada was high, while all other European NATO allies sacrificed very little.